August 31, 2011

Overvalued QBs and Undervalued RBs

After a day off (do you consider a night full of homework a night off?) I have completely prepared my blog for today and I think I found the best candidates. I think you might be surprised. Let's run over some news real quick so we can move to the undervalued/overvalued.

The story that every fantasy owner seems to be fretting about is Arian Foster's hamstring. ESPN's John Clayton said he is expected to miss 3-4 weeks because in the MRI there was a small tear. Before you go drop James Starks and go get Ben Tate let me tell you: this is not as serious as the media and others are making it. Arian Foster is still not taking it seriously and thinks he will play in week one. He might not be full health but he should be 90% for week two. Even if you are going to pick some one up, I'm not sure you want to grab Ben Tate. Many people around the Texans think that Derrick Ward will be the guy in Houston if Foster misses a game despite Tate's great preseason. I would stay away from the Houston backfield completely in week one. In the long run, if Foster performs like last year, he will still be far ahead (fantasy points wise) of any running back at the end of the year, even with sitting out a game or two. Don't worry about this injury; if Arian himself isn't taking it seriously (check out his twitter) then neither should you.

Arian Foster went down with a hamstring injury in Saturday's game. It was later found to be a small tear.

Another rather small story out Jacksonville: after Rashad Jenning's knee sprain in the Jaguars game on Saturday, he was seen at Tuesday's practice on crutches. So unfortunate for the Jaguars because right as Maurice Jones-Drew is ready to go, Jennings goes down. There is not much news on Jennings but if he is to miss a game (he will miss the final preseason game) then Deji Karim will be the Jaguars backup running back.

Rashad Jenning (knee) was seen on crutches on Tuesday.

Now for my first overvalued quarterback I present to you: Kevin Kolb. As of now, he is being drafted in the 11th round, which is way too high for Kolb. He has yet to really prove himself, and he really hasn't shown us much. In the 11th round he is going over guys like: Kyle Orton who we talked about on Monday, as well as Jay Cutler and Joe Flacco. This is ridiculous. I know he was covered a lot by the media, and that is probably a big factor. But drafting him over proven quarterbacks is not a smart move. I wouldn't take Kolb until the 13th or 14th round, just let some one else take that risk.

I'd rather let someone else take Kevin Kolb in the 11th/12th rounds.
Since there really aren't many overvalued quarterbacks this year, let's just move on ahead to the undervalued running backs, then I will give you a really deep guy, just like I did on quarterbacks. My first undervalued guy in Tim Hightower. Many people are against this guy since he is part of a three-headed Shanahan monster. I know it is a reach, but I would take Hightower in the sixth or maybe even fifth round if you are in a standard non-PPR league. Redskins say he is the guy for week one (still, Shanahan is the coach I mean come on) . I really like the guy if he stays in that role. Just a side note on the Redskins: I think John Beck will be the starting QB and I think he will be fairly decent. Not as bad as others think, at least.

My second guy is Reggie Bush. People are worried about injury concerns, I know, I know; but this guy is very explosive and if he stays healthy I think he will have 1,500+ all purpose yards., mark my works. The guy has looked great in preseason and I think he has found new life in Miami. He is being drafted in the eighth round right now, I think that is about right, but a lot of the time you can wait and grab him in the ninth or tenth rounds. That being said, do not go off and draft him in the sixth or seventh round like some people do because of the name. If you use a pick like that you put your trust that he will not get injured, and, well, that is just plain stupid.

But you know what's not stupide final round? Grabbing a deep sleeper at RB in ths of your draft. The guy I'm grabbing? It has to be LaRod Stephens-Howling. He is going to be backup to an injury machine, Beanie Wells. LaRod can catch the ball better than Beanie meaning he is going to find time on the field for that, but it's not just his pass receiving skills. We have seen Beanie get benched by Coach Ken Whisenhunt in the past. Of course, it wasn't for Stephens-Howling, but it does tell you that Beanie could get benched sometime before this season is over. I would be taking Stephens-Howling in the third to last round before you grab your defense or kicker.

Hope you guys enjoyed. Come back tomorrow for my overvalued RBs and my undervalued WRs. Until then you can follow me on Twitter: @TheFFAddict. Thanks for reading!



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