Quarterbacks
- Josh Freeman (thumb) decision to play will go all the way up to game-time, according to head coach Raheem Moore. If he plays, he has an extremely fantasy-friendly matchup going against Carolina. Josh Johnson has taken first team reps in practice, and will start if Freeman is out.
- A couple moves on waivers today for quarterbacks that were recently released. Donovan McNabb, released by the Vikings on Thursday, was not claimed on waivers on Friday, and his agent has not been contacted by any teams, according to ESPN's NFL Insider Adam Schefter. Other than McNabb, Sage Rosenfels, released off the NFI list by the Dolphins earlier this week, took McNabb's spot on the Vikings' 53-man roster. McNabb was released after being moved behind Joe Webb on the depth chart and in practice, according to ProFootballTalk. The Cowboys and Bears were both rumored to put in claims on McNabb, but decided to pass on the 35 year old quarterback.
- According to KCChiefs.com, Tyler Palko will start on Sunday over Kyle Orton, as expected.
Running Backs
- Adrian Peterson (ankle) did not practice and has been ruled out for this week's game against the Denver Tebows. Toby Gerhart will get his second consecutive start.
- Willis McGahee (illness) practiced today, and is listed as probable. He is fully expected to play this weekend.
- Montario Hardesty practiced today and is expects to play this week. He is listed as questionable with a calf injury.
- Giants running back Ahmad Bradshaw (foot) was in his first practice since October 30th on Friday. According to ESPN's John Clayton, Bradshaw "should be able to play" if he does not suffer any setbacks.
- Michael Turner (groin) returned to a full practice today, and, barring any setbacks, should start this week against the Texans.
- Beanie Wells (knee) has become a reoccurring issue for fantasy owners. He struggles to stay in practice, but his performance on Sunday pays off. This week he was at full practice on Friday, and should be good to go this week.
- Colts RB Joseph Addai did not practice and is listed as questionable.
Wide Receivers
- Miles Austin did not practice on Friday, and was ruled out for his fifth consecutive game. Laurent Robinson will get another start opposite of Dez Bryant.
- Percy Harvin (illness) did not practice on Friday. He is expected to start on Sunday, and is listed as questionable.
- Eddie Royal (toe) was limited in practice today, and is listed as questionable for Sunday's game.
- Lots of news swirling around the Giants' wide receivers. Hakeem Nicks, who missed practice earlier this week with a rib injury, was a full participant in practice on Friday and is listed as probable for Sunday. Victor Cruz, who popped up on the injury report on Tuesday of this week with a hip injury, is also listed as probable. However, it is a different story for Mario Manningham, who acknowledged that his season could be in jeopardy due to a lingering knee injury on Thursday. Manningham did not practice on Friday and is listed as doubtful for Sunday's game against the undefeated Packers.
- Raiders wide receivers Denarius Moore (foot) and Jacoby Ford (foot) will both miss Sunday's game against the Dolphins. The two practiced on a limited basis at times this week, but, obviously, neither will be ready to go for Sunday. I like Darrius Heyward-Bey, and I ranked him like Moore and Ford would miss.
- Julio Jones returned to practice on Friday, after missing practice on Wednesday and Thursday with a hamstring injury. He was a limited participant and is listed as questionable, but is expected to play. For fantasy owners, I would stay away until he produces.
-Andre Johnson was a limited participant in practice with a knee injury, as he has been all week. He is listed as probable, and should be a go for Sunday.
Tight Ends
- Bengals TE Donald Lee, who has missed the last thee games with a foot injury, was limited in practice today and is listed as questionable.
- Once again, Buccaneers tight end Kellen Winslow did not practice for non-injury related reasons. Should be good to go on Sunday.
- Titans tight end Jared Cook suffered a concussion last week, but will be a green light on Sunday. He practiced in full on Friday.
Defense/Others
- Giants defensive end Osi Umenyiora (ankle) has been ruled out for week 13, and he should miss at least two more weeks with a serious ankle injury. Other than Osi on the defensive side, Mark Herzlich, who made his first NFL start last week, is also out for this week.
- Redskins head coach Mike Shanahan ruled LaRon Landry out for week 13 in Friday's press conference.
- The injury to Russel Okung's pectoral muscle is as serious as first thought: After an MRI on Friday, it was confirmed that Okung has a torn pectoral muscle and would miss the rest of the season. This is Okung's second NFL season and he was drafted with the sixth overall pick of the 2010 NFL Draft out of Oklahoma State.
- Packers linebackers Desmond Bishop and AJ Hawk were ruled out for Sunday's game. Both have calf injuries that could keep them sidelined for another week or two.
- Vikings CB Asher Allen (shoulder) was limited in practice on Friday, and is listed as questionable. Linebacker EJ Henderson also has a shoulder injury, was limited in practice and is also questionable.
- Steelers safety Troy Polamalu, who suffered "concussion-like" symptoms in last Sunday night's game, was a full participant in practice and is listed as probable.Linebacker Lamarr Woodley has missed the last three games with a hamstring injury. While being close to a return the last couple of weeks, it looks like this is the week that Woodley will return. He is listed as probable and has been a full participant in practice all week.
- Cardinals safety Kerry Rhodes was limited in practice on Friday, but is doubtful for Sunday. Linebacker Joey Porter was also limited today, and is also doubtful.
- Lions cornerback Chris Houston did not practice all week with a foot injury and is not expected to play after injuring it last week against the Packers.
- After missing the last three games with a knee injury, it is very likely that we could finally see Saints' middle linebacker Jonathan Vilma back on the field. He had a full practice on Friday, and is listed as probable.
- Buccaneers defensive tackle Brian Price is questionable for Sunday and was limited in practice on Friday. If he were to sit out, Da'Quan Bowers would start in his place.
Showing posts with label Victor Cruz. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Victor Cruz. Show all posts
December 2, 2011
October 11, 2011
Let Them Preach: Week 5
by: Christian Hardy
1. The Steelers know how to play at home: They have won five of their last six games at Heinz Field. The Terrible Towel really is terrible, for their opponents.
2. Hines Ward! Heath Miller! Fantasy zombies! The two of these guys had three touchdowns combined in Sunday’s game against the Titans! Do I buy it? Well, it's hard to believe in these guys at this point. I think Heath Miller (one touchdown on three receptions in this game) deserves a roster spot, but should stay on the bench, and we all need to see more from Hines Ward (two touchdowns along with seven catches).
3. I wouldn’t be at all surprised if Jonathan Dwyer steals the number two running back spot in Pittsburgh when Mendenhall and Redman are healthy. He was extremely explosive on Sunday (11 for 107) and he burst through the holes like Adrian Peterson (did I take that too far? Oh well.). Of course, Dwyer's 76 yard run helped his stats, but hey, that's what happens when you find and then burst through the hole.
1. The Eagles have one of the best wide receiver corps in the National Football League: Jackson is the big play guy that is going to take the safety deep, Jeremy Maclin is the dependable guy that can also run the sidelines, and Avant is the possession receiver who is going to stay in the middle of the field.
2. Fred Jackson isn't a fluke. He is running like a mad man right now (3rd in the league) and who would of expected this. The Bills offense is at it's peak, and I'm honestly wondering who can stop them right now. Only time will tell.
3. The Lions aren't the "Dream Team"; only the 2008 Lions would dream of being 1-4.
1. At this point. Darren Sproles is one of the best running backs to have on your fantasy team. Consistency is everything at this point in the season, and consistency is Darren Sproles. He has put up nine points or more in every game this season: it doesn't get more consistent than that. Sproles is a must start in all formats right now.
2. While Sproles has been showing up, Jimmy Graham, one of my favorite stories in football, is doing it through the air. He is the top fantasy tight end right now, and who didn't see this coming? He was everyone's fantasy sleeper (including me).
3. The Panthers are legit, but they have to learn to play all four quarters. They can't start slow or finish the game sloppy on either side of the ball. Despite only one check in the "win" column, I think the Panthers are going to compete this year, but I don' think they climb back over .500.
1. Darrius Heyward-Bey really made Al Davis look good, as he went for seven catches, 99 yards and a touch: not too shabby. While others aren't jumping on the bandwagon, I am on, and I have been on for the ride. I picked this guy up in multiple leagues in week one, and he is still doing. Pick up Darrius Heyward-Bey while you still can.
2. I was way off with my Matt Schaub, and I greatly over-estimated the Raiders pass defense. Schaub is going to do it with or without Andre Johnson.
3. Everyone was asking the question, "Who is going to replace Andre Johnson?" The only two people that I know were right were The Fantasy Football Guys and this guy. It was Kevin Walter; not Owen Daniels (he had a good game here too), not Jacoby Jones; just Kevin Walter on his way to a 15 point fantasy day.
1. Todd Haley, Chiefs of his coach, is a man of his word.After saying earlier in the week that Jackie Battle would get more work for the Chiefs, he got 19 carries and ran with it for 119 yards, which was half of the team's carries. Sounds like a good pick up to me, and it also sounds like time to drop Dexter McCluster.
2. Like I have said in weeks past, Dwayne Bowe, even with the Chiefs' struggles, is going to perform on a week to week basis. He is a touchdown machine again this year (call him "Bumblebee") with four touchdowns in the last four games. How impressive is that? Now let's take this a step further: do you sell high on Dwayne Bowe? I am selling high for the right price. He has played two very weak pass defenses, and when Matt Cassel gets into a tougher matchup, he is going to struggle. If I own Dwayne Bowe, I am selling high.
3. I was right! Pierre Garcon is this master athlete! Him and Curtis Painter are hooking up non-stop during the game. It is almost unbelievable. Every time Painter completes a pass I feel like there is a number 85 on his back, and I'm not talking about Ochocinco. Whatever you have to do, go get Pierre Garcon this week if he is available. With all of that, Austin Collie is a drop, and to be honest, Dallas Clark is a drop too. I approve of both of those moves, but drop Clark with caution.
1. AJ Green continues to be Andy Dalton's favorite targets, but Jermaine Gresham is the one who stood out to me. Gresham now has a touchdown in each of his last two games, as well as another touchdown in week one.
2. My Cedric Benson love didn't pay off and he did very little with his carries (24 for 53). The Jaguars front is better than most people think, but if these running backs can get in the open they are going to have a huge run. Unfortunately, Cedric Benson never got that, and he finished with a very disappointing game, especially for me who was so high on him.
3. Although I hate to admit it, the Bengals defense is quite potent. They have only allowed more than 300 yards of total offense to their opponent one time this year (Broncos, 318 yards).
1. The Vikings can play in the second half! They just need 28 points in the first quarter to do it!
2. Emerging from those 28 points was Adrian Peterson: he is a man. Peterson scored three (yes, three) touchdowns in one quarter. I think he quieted all of his haters for now.
3. Kevin Kolb is in the gutters right now. He has hit an all-time low, and he isn't getting anything done; you can feel free to drop him from your fantasy team at any time. The Cardinals are really resorting to Beanie Wells and the run game and since week one, Kevin Kolb has looked absolutely terrible. In the last three weeks combined his has 20 fantasy points combined. There are 31 quarterbacks I would rather have than Kevin Kolb at this point.
1. Doug Baldwin isn't going away. The Seahawks' quarterbacks seem to love to throw this guy, and they continue to find him. In this game he went for 136 on eight catches and a touchdown.
2. There is not doubt that Victor Cruz has replaced Mario Manningham, just like I thought he would. The Giants and Eli Manning have made it very clear that Cruz is the guy.
3. As Matthew Berry and I have preached and preached on, the Seahawks run defense is better than most people think, and it was seen here against Ahmad Bradshaw who should of has a great game with Jacobs out. Bradshaw did everything but that with only 2.8 yards per carry in this game, and he finished with a mediocre game.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ San Francisco 49ers
1. Alex Smith is playing top notch right now. He continues to put up above-par fantasy numbers, and in this game he continued that streak as he went 11/19 with 170 yards and three touchdowns--yes, Alex Smith. He is the reason that the Niners are winning at this point. Smith continues to take care of the ball: he has only thrown one interception this year, and that was his only turnover of this year.
2. Frank Gore, when he gets those legs churning, is one of the most brilliant running backs in the NFL. He is one of the most dynamic backs; he is agile, yet he can still truck over defenders. He is a great pass blocker, but he can also catch a ball or two in the flat. Even with all of the injuries he has had, he is still an elite running back, and a dynamic one at that.
3. Even though I already knew this, I thought I would mention that the 49ers have a more than impressive run defense. They continue to shut guys down, and in this game the held the red hot LeGarrette Blount to only 3.4 yards per carry, and they have allowed only 3.6 yards per carry on the year.
1.How do you have 40% completion percentage (4 0f 10 complete) and still have a passer rating of over 100? You have to be the biggest, the baddest, you have to be the Tim Tebow. When Orton had nothing going for him, Tebow stepped up and took advantage of his opportunity. Enough said: Tebow is my pickup the week, considering that he can run the ball and he is probably going to be the Broncos' new goal line back.
2. Even before Mike Tolbert's in this game, we all knew who the head guy in the backfield for the Chargers is: that'd be Ryan Matthews. He is running as good as any other back in the NFL right now and he ran the ball 24 time (!) for 125 yards but he did not find the endzone. I really like Matthews going forward, and love him from a dynasty league standpoint.
3. McGahee is the guy in Denver, and Moreno is absolutely non-existent in the run game. He had no carries in this game, and only two carries in his last two. The only reason he deserves a roster spot right now is because he found the endzone in this game. If he disappears next game too, then you might as well free up a roster spot.
1. BenJarvus Green-Ellis appears to be the guy; he had 27 carries in this one, and he has been getting the majority of the carries. Ridley is definitely still worth a roster spot, but right now he is just a handcuff, and nothing more.
2. I have said this before, but Ladanian Tomlinson is completely non-existant. Shonn Greene has taken over the role as the running back with 21 carries in this game. The best you are going to get out of Ladanian Tomlinson is around 50 receiving yards and maybe 50 yards rushing, but it is very possible that he could explode at any given time, just a heads up.
3. You know that Wes Welker guy? Yeah, he is kinda good. I mean, he's the only fugitive of "Revis Island", he has to be a beast. But realistically speaking: Welker is poised for the most receptions and yards ever in a single season by a wide receiver. What do you have to say about his knee now?
1. There is not one running back you want on your fantasy team from the Packers. Neither James Starks or Ryan Grant is getting enough work to really have an impact. For each of them you are banking on a touchdown, but Mr.Rodgers takes care of that.
2. James Jones! Another fantasy zombie! He was finally revived after getting seven targets and five of them coming as catches, including a 70 yard bomb for a touchdown. Not that he has any huge value yet, but keep your eye on this guy.
3. I don't put any value in this game for Julio Jones. He injured the hamstring late, and he has had two huge games before this. I don't think this means anything for Julio Jones, sometimes you just have one of those games.
1. Calvin Johnson is a machine! Nine touchdowns in five games!? That is the most any receiver in the history of the NFL has scored in that span! It's absolutely incredible, and if you have Calvin Johnson on your fantasy team then I'm sure you are doing well.
2. Like I said last week, when Matt Forte gets the touches he deserves he is going to take them and run with them. In this game he had 22 carries for 116 yards. In his last two games, Matt Forte has averaged 6.83 yards per carry. That's how you run the football. And he wasn't playing just any run defense..he has had to run against the Panthers and the Lions: two decent run defenses. That only makes it more impressive.
3. Jahvid Best isn't the kind of running back you want on your fantasy lineup. He can easily drop a huge goose egg, or he can explode that one time that you decide to put him on your bench. His average yards per carry was just over three before the 88 yard touchdown run. I know you have to include the huge run into his average, but he isn't going to do that every game and that means that you are really depending on that touchdown.
Thanks for reading. I'll be back with my Bank and Tank on Thursday, and look for my rankings on Thursday. Don't forget to check me out on Twitter with all of your questions (I mean all of them), or you can also email me.
Week five has breezed right by us
and it certainly didn’t live up to my expectations; but hey, it was football,
and football is good. I mean, there was Tebow tantrum in Denver, a
Jackson explosion in Buffalo, and a Buccaneers implosion. Sounds like it was a
pretty good week, but it was no Week 4, or even Week 3 for that matter. Enough
of this, let’s get to the good stuff: all of the things I learned in week five
of the 2011 NFL season.
Tennessee Titans @
Pittsburgh Steelers
1. The Steelers know how to play at home: They have won five of their last six games at Heinz Field. The Terrible Towel really is terrible, for their opponents.
2. Hines Ward! Heath Miller! Fantasy zombies! The two of these guys had three touchdowns combined in Sunday’s game against the Titans! Do I buy it? Well, it's hard to believe in these guys at this point. I think Heath Miller (one touchdown on three receptions in this game) deserves a roster spot, but should stay on the bench, and we all need to see more from Hines Ward (two touchdowns along with seven catches).
3. I wouldn’t be at all surprised if Jonathan Dwyer steals the number two running back spot in Pittsburgh when Mendenhall and Redman are healthy. He was extremely explosive on Sunday (11 for 107) and he burst through the holes like Adrian Peterson (did I take that too far? Oh well.). Of course, Dwyer's 76 yard run helped his stats, but hey, that's what happens when you find and then burst through the hole.
Philadelphia Eagles @
Buffalo Bills
1. The Eagles have one of the best wide receiver corps in the National Football League: Jackson is the big play guy that is going to take the safety deep, Jeremy Maclin is the dependable guy that can also run the sidelines, and Avant is the possession receiver who is going to stay in the middle of the field.
2. Fred Jackson isn't a fluke. He is running like a mad man right now (3rd in the league) and who would of expected this. The Bills offense is at it's peak, and I'm honestly wondering who can stop them right now. Only time will tell.
3. The Lions aren't the "Dream Team"; only the 2008 Lions would dream of being 1-4.
New Orleans Saints @
Carolina Panthers
1. At this point. Darren Sproles is one of the best running backs to have on your fantasy team. Consistency is everything at this point in the season, and consistency is Darren Sproles. He has put up nine points or more in every game this season: it doesn't get more consistent than that. Sproles is a must start in all formats right now.
2. While Sproles has been showing up, Jimmy Graham, one of my favorite stories in football, is doing it through the air. He is the top fantasy tight end right now, and who didn't see this coming? He was everyone's fantasy sleeper (including me).
3. The Panthers are legit, but they have to learn to play all four quarters. They can't start slow or finish the game sloppy on either side of the ball. Despite only one check in the "win" column, I think the Panthers are going to compete this year, but I don' think they climb back over .500.
Oakland Raiders @
Houston Texans
1. Darrius Heyward-Bey really made Al Davis look good, as he went for seven catches, 99 yards and a touch: not too shabby. While others aren't jumping on the bandwagon, I am on, and I have been on for the ride. I picked this guy up in multiple leagues in week one, and he is still doing. Pick up Darrius Heyward-Bey while you still can.
2. I was way off with my Matt Schaub, and I greatly over-estimated the Raiders pass defense. Schaub is going to do it with or without Andre Johnson.
3. Everyone was asking the question, "Who is going to replace Andre Johnson?" The only two people that I know were right were The Fantasy Football Guys and this guy. It was Kevin Walter; not Owen Daniels (he had a good game here too), not Jacoby Jones; just Kevin Walter on his way to a 15 point fantasy day.
| Kansas City Chiefs @ Indianapolis Colts |
1. Todd Haley, Chiefs of his coach, is a man of his word.After saying earlier in the week that Jackie Battle would get more work for the Chiefs, he got 19 carries and ran with it for 119 yards, which was half of the team's carries. Sounds like a good pick up to me, and it also sounds like time to drop Dexter McCluster.
2. Like I have said in weeks past, Dwayne Bowe, even with the Chiefs' struggles, is going to perform on a week to week basis. He is a touchdown machine again this year (call him "Bumblebee") with four touchdowns in the last four games. How impressive is that? Now let's take this a step further: do you sell high on Dwayne Bowe? I am selling high for the right price. He has played two very weak pass defenses, and when Matt Cassel gets into a tougher matchup, he is going to struggle. If I own Dwayne Bowe, I am selling high.
3. I was right! Pierre Garcon is this master athlete! Him and Curtis Painter are hooking up non-stop during the game. It is almost unbelievable. Every time Painter completes a pass I feel like there is a number 85 on his back, and I'm not talking about Ochocinco. Whatever you have to do, go get Pierre Garcon this week if he is available. With all of that, Austin Collie is a drop, and to be honest, Dallas Clark is a drop too. I approve of both of those moves, but drop Clark with caution.
Cincinnati Bengals @
Jacksonville Jaguars
1. AJ Green continues to be Andy Dalton's favorite targets, but Jermaine Gresham is the one who stood out to me. Gresham now has a touchdown in each of his last two games, as well as another touchdown in week one.
2. My Cedric Benson love didn't pay off and he did very little with his carries (24 for 53). The Jaguars front is better than most people think, but if these running backs can get in the open they are going to have a huge run. Unfortunately, Cedric Benson never got that, and he finished with a very disappointing game, especially for me who was so high on him.
3. Although I hate to admit it, the Bengals defense is quite potent. They have only allowed more than 300 yards of total offense to their opponent one time this year (Broncos, 318 yards).
Arizona Cardinals @
Minnesota Vikings
1. The Vikings can play in the second half! They just need 28 points in the first quarter to do it!
2. Emerging from those 28 points was Adrian Peterson: he is a man. Peterson scored three (yes, three) touchdowns in one quarter. I think he quieted all of his haters for now.
3. Kevin Kolb is in the gutters right now. He has hit an all-time low, and he isn't getting anything done; you can feel free to drop him from your fantasy team at any time. The Cardinals are really resorting to Beanie Wells and the run game and since week one, Kevin Kolb has looked absolutely terrible. In the last three weeks combined his has 20 fantasy points combined. There are 31 quarterbacks I would rather have than Kevin Kolb at this point.
Seattle Seahawks @ New
York Giants
1. Doug Baldwin isn't going away. The Seahawks' quarterbacks seem to love to throw this guy, and they continue to find him. In this game he went for 136 on eight catches and a touchdown.
2. There is not doubt that Victor Cruz has replaced Mario Manningham, just like I thought he would. The Giants and Eli Manning have made it very clear that Cruz is the guy.
3. As Matthew Berry and I have preached and preached on, the Seahawks run defense is better than most people think, and it was seen here against Ahmad Bradshaw who should of has a great game with Jacobs out. Bradshaw did everything but that with only 2.8 yards per carry in this game, and he finished with a mediocre game.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ San Francisco 49ers
1. Alex Smith is playing top notch right now. He continues to put up above-par fantasy numbers, and in this game he continued that streak as he went 11/19 with 170 yards and three touchdowns--yes, Alex Smith. He is the reason that the Niners are winning at this point. Smith continues to take care of the ball: he has only thrown one interception this year, and that was his only turnover of this year.
2. Frank Gore, when he gets those legs churning, is one of the most brilliant running backs in the NFL. He is one of the most dynamic backs; he is agile, yet he can still truck over defenders. He is a great pass blocker, but he can also catch a ball or two in the flat. Even with all of the injuries he has had, he is still an elite running back, and a dynamic one at that.
3. Even though I already knew this, I thought I would mention that the 49ers have a more than impressive run defense. They continue to shut guys down, and in this game the held the red hot LeGarrette Blount to only 3.4 yards per carry, and they have allowed only 3.6 yards per carry on the year.
San Diego Chargers @
Denver Broncos
1.How do you have 40% completion percentage (4 0f 10 complete) and still have a passer rating of over 100? You have to be the biggest, the baddest, you have to be the Tim Tebow. When Orton had nothing going for him, Tebow stepped up and took advantage of his opportunity. Enough said: Tebow is my pickup the week, considering that he can run the ball and he is probably going to be the Broncos' new goal line back.
2. Even before Mike Tolbert's in this game, we all knew who the head guy in the backfield for the Chargers is: that'd be Ryan Matthews. He is running as good as any other back in the NFL right now and he ran the ball 24 time (!) for 125 yards but he did not find the endzone. I really like Matthews going forward, and love him from a dynasty league standpoint.
3. McGahee is the guy in Denver, and Moreno is absolutely non-existent in the run game. He had no carries in this game, and only two carries in his last two. The only reason he deserves a roster spot right now is because he found the endzone in this game. If he disappears next game too, then you might as well free up a roster spot.
New York Jets @ New
England Patriots
1. BenJarvus Green-Ellis appears to be the guy; he had 27 carries in this one, and he has been getting the majority of the carries. Ridley is definitely still worth a roster spot, but right now he is just a handcuff, and nothing more.
2. I have said this before, but Ladanian Tomlinson is completely non-existant. Shonn Greene has taken over the role as the running back with 21 carries in this game. The best you are going to get out of Ladanian Tomlinson is around 50 receiving yards and maybe 50 yards rushing, but it is very possible that he could explode at any given time, just a heads up.
3. You know that Wes Welker guy? Yeah, he is kinda good. I mean, he's the only fugitive of "Revis Island", he has to be a beast. But realistically speaking: Welker is poised for the most receptions and yards ever in a single season by a wide receiver. What do you have to say about his knee now?
Green Bay Packers @
Atlanta Falcons
1. There is not one running back you want on your fantasy team from the Packers. Neither James Starks or Ryan Grant is getting enough work to really have an impact. For each of them you are banking on a touchdown, but Mr.Rodgers takes care of that.
2. James Jones! Another fantasy zombie! He was finally revived after getting seven targets and five of them coming as catches, including a 70 yard bomb for a touchdown. Not that he has any huge value yet, but keep your eye on this guy.
3. I don't put any value in this game for Julio Jones. He injured the hamstring late, and he has had two huge games before this. I don't think this means anything for Julio Jones, sometimes you just have one of those games.
Chicago Bears @
Detroit Lions
1. Calvin Johnson is a machine! Nine touchdowns in five games!? That is the most any receiver in the history of the NFL has scored in that span! It's absolutely incredible, and if you have Calvin Johnson on your fantasy team then I'm sure you are doing well.
2. Like I said last week, when Matt Forte gets the touches he deserves he is going to take them and run with them. In this game he had 22 carries for 116 yards. In his last two games, Matt Forte has averaged 6.83 yards per carry. That's how you run the football. And he wasn't playing just any run defense..he has had to run against the Panthers and the Lions: two decent run defenses. That only makes it more impressive.
3. Jahvid Best isn't the kind of running back you want on your fantasy lineup. He can easily drop a huge goose egg, or he can explode that one time that you decide to put him on your bench. His average yards per carry was just over three before the 88 yard touchdown run. I know you have to include the huge run into his average, but he isn't going to do that every game and that means that you are really depending on that touchdown.
Thanks for reading. I'll be back with my Bank and Tank on Thursday, and look for my rankings on Thursday. Don't forget to check me out on Twitter with all of your questions (I mean all of them), or you can also email me.
Crazy Gabey's Week 5 Pickups
by Gabe Harber
Welcome back my friends to the show that never ends, well at
least until February. The beginning of
the bye weeks are a critical time where the course of entire seasons can hang
in the balance. A timely addition can be
the difference between taking a few Ls and winning your division. Luckily though, you have the Fantasy Football
Addict to guide you through these confusing times as your stars get some much
needed rest and relaxation. Let’s roll
up our sleeves.
Steve Breaston: I had him here last week too, and his
stock is still going up. Cassel is finally showing signs of life,
and the Chiefs as a unit have looked decent since the contest with San
Diego. Don’t get me wrong, they won’t
get to play Indy every week, but sometimes a confidence boost is all a team
really needs to develop synergy. With Dwayne Bowe swinging into midseason
form and the Chiefs finally sporting a running game worth mention, you have a
real chance for this criminally underappreciated talent to put up some WR2/3
numbers.
Jackie Battle: If you want to talk about things coming out
of left field, pull up a chair and we can chat about Battle all day. In the mindless maze of mediocrity that was
the discussion on whether Thomas Jones
or Dexter McCluster would be the
beneficiary when Charles went down,
no one even mentioned the guy that showed more promise in one game than the
other two showed all last season. He’s
not a particularly dazzling runner, with most of his yardage coming on brute
force between the tackles, but the RB situation in Kansas City is desperate
enough that the coaching staff is likely to stick with the hot hand.
Doug Baldwin: I love tooting my own horn, so I’ll do it
again here. I sensed Baldwin was ready
for a breakout performance, and while some may believe he’s peaked, I foresee
good things for the future in Seattle. Lynch, Rice, and Tavaris Jackson
are all developing chemistry, and the offense is starting to consistently move
the ball downfield. Baldwin is unowned
in most leagues and finding a receiver with three 80+ yard performances is too
much to pass up on.
Jason Avant: This
one was the one I was most unsure about.
He clearly has a connection with Michael
Vick, but how much longer will his
QB and coaching staff continue to trust him if he can’t secure the ball? There are a few things I see working in his
favor though. For one, his teammates
seem to have the same problem in securing the football, and Andy Reid, possibly coaching for his
job, will probably be willing to put the most productive players on the field
in an attempt to pull the Eagles out of this downward spiral. There’s a high risk, high reward addition to
be made here for those of you looking for a big payoff at WR.
Jared Cook: I wasn’t ready to jump on his bandwagon
quite yet after last week, as he hadn’t gone for more than 2 receptions in any
game this season. It just felt like his
2 catch, 93 yard and a touchdown performance could too easily be the product of
luck. All that changed this week,
because even though he didn’t find the endzone, he caught 4 balls for 59 yards;
a big improvement on weeks 1-3. It’s not
like he wasn’t targeted in the red zone though; he saw two passes come his was
in the red zone this week. As long as Matt
Hasselbeck continues playing at a high level, Cook is a viable option in
deeper formats.
Curtis Painter: Peyton who? Alright, maybe Painter only looked good for
one half of football, and maybe Pierre
Garcon is artificially inflating his statistics, and maybe the Colts are
still really (I mean REALLY) bad, but you could do a whole lot worse than
Painter for your bye weeks. I don’t
expect he’ll “go off” for a huge game at any point this season, but 15-20
points is a perfectly reasonable expectation.
Michael
Crabtree: As one’s season goes, so
emerges another. Losing Josh Morgan was a huge blow to a
surprisingly good 49ers squad, and now the spotlight, and a large portion of
the offensive responsibilities fall on another player. We’ve caught glimpses in the past of what
Crabtree is capable of (weeks 5, 10, and 16 last year) and now the show will be
all his to steal. Always at risk for
injury, and with an elite level of talent, Crabtree could be one of those
additions that win you a championship, or one that has you sending him back
into the talent pool after 3 weeks, he’s just that enigmatic. Still, despite all the risk, he’s a must own
in all deeper formats.
Kendall Hunter: I’ve mentioned him here before, but I
want to make sure everyone realizes exactly how important it is to pick up
Hunter if he’s still floating around on waivers. In the past 3 contests he’s averaging 4.9
yards per carry, and even broke off a long reception. If Frank
Gore goes down, which isn’t too much of a stretch, Hunter immediately moves
into the realm of RB2. Add him with
confidence and reap the benefits down the road.
Victor Cruz: If he’s still on waivers, snag him
immediately. It looks like all that talk
about Manningham taking his job back
was exactly that, talk. I’ve watched him
play in the last 3 games and I can personally attest to the fact that dude is
the real deal. I’m starting him from
here on out until Manningham puts him back on the bench
or the G-men slow down.
If you have any questions about your lineup, or just want to
chat fake futbol, stop by my Twitter, or you can just mention me: @CrazyGabey.
Thanks for reading folks and best of luck this week!
October 8, 2011
Week 5 Game Analysis
Week 5 is upon us, and you know
what that means: time for my game picks. Last week was awesome, and this week
shouldn’t disappoint. We have a full slate of games to get to but before we get
to that I wanted to point out a couple things. The “starts and sits” in my
weekly game picks aren’t guys that I would literally start or sit; rather, they
are guys that I think will over-perform or under-perform. And one last thing: I
get the betting lines
and over/under here. They are completely updated, and I get the lines from
them on Saturday Morning. Each game is linked to the ESPN preview when you click on the team names.With all of that mess cleaned up, I think it’s time
to get this started.
1:00 PM EST – FOX
Line: Eagles by 3
Over/Under: 50
Things I’m Watching For
I want to see if Nnamdi Asomugha can finally step up and shut down his assignment (should be Steve Johnson). He hasn’t been able to shut down anyone so far, probably because he is doing a lot more in Philadelphia than he did in Oakland. I’m even more excited for Lesean McCoy and Fred Jackson to go off in this game. McCoy has led his team in almost every game thus far, and Fred Jackson is doing better than anyone could of expected. It will be interesting to see these two teams pound the ball on the ground, to go along with their dynamic offenses.
Start
Fred Jackson – Like I just said, Jackson is going to get a lot of work in this game, and it only helps that he is playing the worst run defense in the league. Not that I think anyone would be sitting him, but I think many are under-ranking him this week.
Scott
Chandler – The Eagles
have been putrid against tight ends this year, and common thing amongst teams
with rush defense problems. Chandler isn’t getting targeted much except for in
the endzone, but if you are looking for a tight end for a bye week fill
in then look for Scott Chandler.
Sit
Ryan Ftizpatrick – Bad matchup for Fitzpatrick this week and coming off of a bad performance against the Bengals last week. I expect a sub-par performance from “The Beard”.
CJ Spiller – With Fred Jackson getting almost all of the carries, Spiller hasn’t looked good. It’s just a good thing that Fred Jackson has emerged like this. or the Bills might be struggling to find an offense. Beside that point, CJ Spiller has an injury that has limited him in practice all week long. Even if you need a bye week filler, there should be better options than Spiller.
Pick: Eagles 30, Bills 24
New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers
1:00PM EST - FOX
Line: Saints by 6.5
Over/Under: 51.5
Start
Darren Sproles - Sproles continues to be the Saint's running back that you want the most on your team. When he gets the ball he is going off, and that's how he is supposed to be used. Darren Sproles is the ideal flex, and I expect him to slowly take over the role of Pierre Thomas. It only helps that he is playing a weak Carolina rush defense (31st, 5.2 yards per rush) in week five.
Greg Olsen - Consistency is key, and Greg Olsen in consistent as can be. He has a touchdown in each of his last two games, and Olsen seems to be Cam Newton's go-to guy if he gets under pressure. Greg Olsen is a good option for your flex spot this week.
Sit
Panthers' Running Backs - The two headed monster...or the two-headed goat. DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart are only hurting each others' fantasy value this year. Neither one has distinguished themselves as the main guy. Regardless of matchup, it is extremely hard to stick one of these guys into your lineup.
Saints' Wide Receivers (after Colston)- With Colston back, I really don't like any of the Saints' wide receivers from a fantasy perspective. None of them have been consistent with Colston out, and with Colston back I don't think anyone is going to really standout.
Pick: Saints 30, Panthers 24
Oakland Raiders vs Houston Texans
1:00 PM EST - CBS
Line: Texans by 5.5
Over/Under: 48.5
Things I'm Watching For
I'm looking to see if Darrius Heyward-Bey is going to play like he did int he three weeks he was healthy, or if Jacoby Ford and Denarius Moore step up. I think Darrius Heyward-Bey is for real, but that is just me. Denarius Moore should see a lot of coverage from Johnathan Joesph who has been magnificent this year. For the Texans, I want to see who is going to step up as the number one wide receiver now that Andre Johnson is out. We all know that Owen Daniels is going to continue to do what he does with Matt Schaub under center, but what about Kevin Walter and Jacoby Jones? Jones has had his chances as the replacement of Andre Johnson and he has done nothing with it. I would look for Kevin Walter to have the biggest game in the absence of Andre, but Jones has a lot more upside.
Start
Darrius Heyward-Bey - With Denarius Moore getting covered by Johnathan Joseph much of the game (I am guessing here as Joseph and Moore both play the left side very often), Heyward-Bey is going to see a lot of Kareem Jackson, one of the worst starting corners in the league. Heyward-Bey could see a lot of targets here, and that is only going to help his stat line.
Kevin Walter - A lot of fantasy analysts are jumping on the Jacoby Jones bandwagon, but not this guy. Walter has stepped up every time that Andre Johnson has been sidelined. I still expect Owen Daniels to have a better game, but Walter should have a good game against a weak Raiders pass defense.
Sit
Denarius Moore - Like I explained earlier, he should see a lot of Johnathan Joesph, and he has been a top-notch corner this year.
Matt Schaub - Life is going to be hard without Andre Johnson. He is going to be handing off of the ball a lot, so I think You can find a better option this week.
Pick: Texans 27, Raiders 20
Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts
1:00 PM EST - CBS
Line: Colts by 2
Over/Under: 38.5
Things I'm Watching For
Well, there isn't much to watch in the Andrew Luck championship.I want to see if Joseph Addai scontines to get the carries that he deserves, including the ones on the goal line. I also am curious to see is Pierre Garcon will continue to connect with Curtis Painter.
Start
Thomas Jones and Dwayne Bowe - I know your screaming, "What the hell are you thinking! You would start two Chiefs?!" Yes, yes I am starting two Chiefs. Thomas Jones has a great matchup against a weak rush defense and their pass defense isn't much better. Dwayne Bowe, despite the Chiefs' offensive struggles, Bowe has continued to be a very viable option. I think both of these guys will have great games this weekend.
Joseph Addai - As I explained in my Bank/Tank, he is getting almost all of the carries and it isn't even a competition against Delone Carter. Find a spot for Addai in your lineup.
Sit
Dallas Clark - While Pierre Garcon benefited from Curtis Painter starting, Dallas Clark did not. I think you probably have a better option this week.
Reggie Wayne - He hasn't shown me anything that makes me want to put him into my lineup, and the same should go for you.
Pick: Chiefs 20, Colts 17
Cincinnati Bengals vs Jacksonville Jaguars
1:00 PM EST - CBS
Line: Jaguars by 2
Over/Under: 37
Things I'm Watching For
Rookie versus rookie..Dalton vs Gabbert..Well, I think we know which one is going to fair better, that'd be the ginger one. I'm interested to see how both of these guys are going to play against each other, even though this game doesn't mean much. I also want to see if Jermaine Gresham, a guy I have always liked, is going to continue to connect with Andy Dalton this week.
Start
AJ Green - The two rookies, Andy Dalton and AJ Green have been connecting well, and against a weak pass defense this week (Jaguars are 14th in the league, numbers do lie!), Green could have a great game.
Cedric Benson - Like I said in my Bank/Tank, Cedric Benson has been getting a ton of goal line touches, and is tied for second in the league in touches overall. I know a lot of people have him ranked high this week, but I am actually expecting about 100 yards and touchdown out of this guy. Don't doubt Ced Ben.
Sit
Both Tight Ends - Even though earlier I said I am going to be watching for Jermaine Gresham, I want him to prove to me that he can find the endzone. Marcedes Lewis has been upsetting this year. I was high on him coming into last year and then again this year and he just isn't getting the job done.
Mike Thomas - The Bengals are playing notably good pass defense (3rd in the league) and have only allowed two touchdowns to apposing wide receivers so far this year (both to Eric Decker in week two). I don't think Mike Thomas is going to do much, and if you play him you have to be desperate.
Pick: Bengals 17, Jaguars 13
Arizona Cardinals vs Minnesota Vikings
1:00 PM EST - FOX
Line:Vikings by 3
Over/Under: 45.5
Things I'm Watching For
Now that we know that the Vikings can play int he second half, I want to see Donovan McNabb lead this team to win. He isn't playing up to standards, but this is the perfect matchup to be able for him to do so. i expect to see Larry Fitzgerald have a huge game as well. He has had a good year with Kevin Kolb thus far, but can he take it to the next level with Antoine Winfield out? Survey says yes.
Start
Donovan McNabb - He hasn't been putting up spectacular fantasy numbers by any means, but he is going up against one of the worst defenses in the NFL, and I would be surprised if he doesn't exceed 17 points this week (and only this week).
Larry Fitzgerald - Like I said early, Antonie Winfield is out. This game means far more to Fitzgerald then just any game. He is supporting breast cancer right now, and whether that affects how he plays we will have to see, but I certainly think he will be playing with more compassion.
Sit
Both Tight Ends - This one is pretty apparent, but I wouldn't start either of these tight ends unless you are completely in need of a tight end.
Pick: Cardinals 21, Vikings 20
Seattle Seahawks vs New York Giants
1:00 PM EST - FOX
Line: Giants by 9.5
Over/Under: 43.5
Things I'm Watching For
I will be looking out for lots of things in this game, mostly regarding the Giants. With Brandon Jacobs most likely sitting this game out with an MCL tear, how effective will Ahmad Bradshaw be? How much work is Victor Cruz going to get compared to Mario Manningham and which will be more effective? Can the Giants stop Marshawyn Lynch with Osi Umenyiora and Justin Tuck dealing with injuries? All of these things will be interesting to watch and find out, and you can't really get an answer without this game.
Start
Eli Manning - He has thrown for eight touchdowns in the last three weeks and along with that comes great fantasy numbers.
Marshawyn Lynch - As I mentioned earlier, the defensive line is hurting for the Giants, and both Lynch and Tavaris Jackson could have serviceable fantasy days. I mean maybe he will help pull off an upset..but this time, there won't be an earthquake.
Sit
Sidney Rice - It's not that I don't believe in Sidney Rice, I just think that people are overhyping him after good performances against two pretty weak defenses. I'm not saying you sit him, but temper your expectations.
Mario Manningham - I am a huge Victor Cruz believer. He has played great in the preseason for two years in a row now, and he is extremely talented. I just think that Manningham's playing time is going to go down the gutter. If your a Manningham owner then you better grab Victor Cruz.
Pick: Giants 30, Seahawks 17
Tennessee Titans vs Pittsburgh Steelers
1:00 PM EST - CBS
Line: Steelers by 3
Over/Under: 39.5
Things I'm Watching For
What an interesting game in that is definitely a toss up between the old and the new. I want to see if Chris Johnson can run on the Steelers defense like he did last week, or is he going to flop like most other running backs? And is Jared Cook going to become the main guy for Matt Hasselbeck? Both are questions that I want answered badly, and this should be a good one.
Start
Chris Johnson - It's pretty apparent that the Steelers aren't "who we thought they were", but can they shut down an elite running back? I doubt it. Arian Foster torched this defense last week, and Idon't see it getting better anytime soon.
Jared Cook - He looks like he is going to be Matt Hasselbeck's go to guy, and if you are fishing for a tight end and this guy is out there, then grab him while you still can.
Sit
Ben Roethlisberger - The foot injury could limit his skills on the field, and the Titans are playing some top notch defense right now. I think there are about twenty better options than Big Ben this week.
Rashard Mendenhall - Even if this guy plays he is going to be ineffective. Keep Mendenhall on your bench this week, and if you have to, then go get Isaac Redman.
Pick: Steelers win this game at home, Steelers 26, Titans 20.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers
4:05 PM EST - CBS
Line:49ers by 3
Over/Under: 41.5
Things I'm Watching For
This is another one of those coin flip games. Both teams are probably underrated going into this game with their 3-1 record, and both teams are leading their division (Bucs are tied). I want to see how Mike Williams is going to perform, because he has done nothing yet and this is a great matchup for him. I'm also curious to see if the Buccaneers can get the ground game going with LeGarrette Blount against one of the best run defenses in the league (the 49ers haven't allowed a touchdown on the ground yet).
Start
Both Quarterbacks - Both guys have been putting out decent fantasy numbers, and both have a good matchup this week. What else is there to say other than "start'em"!
Mike Williams - I think this is the week that he wakes up. I think Josh Freeman has the best game of his season, and he is going to utilize the matchup that Williams has, just like Tony Romo did with Miles Austin in week three.
Sit
LeGarrette Blount - Going up against a run defense who hasn't allowed a touchdown in the first four weeks in 49ers. If you have an option that is going to put points on the board for you then do it. Their defensive line has trumped other team's offensive lines (I learned this from watching it happen to the Cowboys)
Michael Crabtree - With the matchup against Aqib Talib, I don't expect to see much from Crabtree. Not that he will be non-existent, and just think that you should limit expectations for Crabtree in this game.
Pick: Buccaneers 24, 49ers 20
San Diego Chargers vs Denver Broncos
4:15 PM EST - CBS
Line: Chargers by 3
Over/Under: 46
Things I'm Watching For
Well, the season couldn't get much worse for the Broncos. At least they have a win, right? I expect the Chargers to roll over the Broncos this week. I'll be watching how the Chargers split the carries between Ryan Matthews and Mike Tolbert and when the two running backs are getting the carries. I also want to see who gets more targets this week: Brandon Lloyd or Eric Decker? Kyle Orton likes Decker a lot, but Lloyd is still putting up numbers. I also want to see Knowshon Moreno more involved in this offense; he has been so talented in the past.
Start
Both Broncos' Receivers (Brandon Lloyd and Eric Decker)- They have both been putting up solid fantasy numbers, and the Broncos should be passing a lot in this game.
Both Chargers' Running Backs - They are both productive on any given day, just like the two names I mentioned up above. Matthews is going to get you the carries driving down the field, and Tolbert is going to be in on short-yardage and will most likely be a part of the goal line offense.
Sit
Broncos' Running Backs - It's quite obvious you don't want either of these guys. I mean, McGahee has been finding the endzone, so he may be worth a flex, but I think Moreno could see more work. Besides that point, I think Denver will be down on this game, and will be airing the ball out.
Vincent Jackson - Champ Bailey should be back for this game, and I think people have forgotten that he is still close to a shut down corner. He allows very little to get past him, and Rivers will find other spots to throw the ball. Of course, if Bailey is inactive then I am fine with Vincent Jackson.
Pick: Chargers 27, Broncos 13
New York Jets vs New England Patriots
4:15 PM EST - CBS
Line: Patriots by 7.5
Over/Under: 49
Things I'm Watching For
This is probably one of the greatest rivalries of the 2000s, as you might know. Rex Ryan vs Bill Belichick. It doesn't get much better than that. I'm looking to see who is going to get more snaps and who gets more catches: Ladanian Tomlinson or Shonn Greene. I also want to see what Stevan Ridley does with no Danny Woodhead stealing snaps from him. It will be a very good game..or will it?
Start
Patriots' Running Backs - Jets have had a sub-par rush defense this year, so don't fear the Jets. BenJarvus Green-Ellis is getting a tremendous amount of carries on the goal line, and Stevan Ridley is the emerging star. I think both of these guys deserve to be in your lineup.
Santonio Holmes - Devin McCourty hasn't been able to do anything against his man, and guess who his man is this game? If you just guessed Santonio Holmes, then you were right. I love Holmes this week, as seen in my rankings.
Sit
Wes Welker - I'm obviously not literally sitting Welker. but against Revis, Welker is definitely going to under perform. Roll with Welker, but just limit your expectations.
Dustin Keller - He hasn't done much lately, and Patriots aren't letting tight ends do much. I would keep Keller on the pine this week.
Pick: Patriots 30, Jets 20 - Patriots don't lose at home
Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons8:27 PM EST - NBC
Line: Packers by 5.5
Over/Under: 53
Things I'm Watching ForThe main thing I am watching that i haven't watched much this season is how Julio Jones looks, and how Roddy White is affected by him. I am also watching to see how the carries are split now that Ryan Grant is back from that kidney injury.
Start
Julio Jones - He is getting a ton of targets in every game, and Matt Ryan loves to throw the ball to this guy. He is a big physical receiver and just like I conveyed in my Bank/Tank, the Packers can't defend #2 wide receivers this year, and Julio Jones is the best number two that they have faced. I am definitely finding a spot for Julio Jones on my roster on his way to his first touchdown in the NFL.
Jordy Nelson - Continues to put up nice fantasy numbers. Good wide receiver two or flex play this week
Sit
Packers' Running Backs - You don't know who is going to step up every week, and I don't think this is going to be a running type of game for the Packers.
Michael Turner - He was in my Bank/Tank as a tank. The Falcons aren't going to be running the ball, and even if they do, it isn't going to be effective of the ground.
Picks: Packers 30, Falcons 24
Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions 8:37 PM EST -ESPN
Line: Lions by 5
Over/Under:47.5
Things I'm Watching For
I think we all want to see what a game at Ford Field on Monday Night that is sold out is going to be like. It's should be a great thing to watch. I want to see what wide receiver get's the most targets for the Bears and if Dane Sanzenbacher will step up to the plate once again. I'm even more ready for "C'mon Man!": the best part of Monday Night Football...well maybe not this Monday. I think this will be a really fun game to watch, hopefully more so than last week.
Start
Start Your Studs- You are starting Calvin Johnson, Matt Forte, and Matt Stafford. All of those are a given on any week.
Dane Sanzenbacher - I am a believer! Jay Cutler loves to throw to him, and no other Bears' receivers are not showing up. Why can't he do it this week?
Sit
Jahvid Best - The Bears have a great run defense, and I don't think we are going to see Jahvid Best get much in this game. If you are starting him, hope for a touchdown.
Bears' Wide Receivers (Knox, Williams, Bennett) - None of these guys are showing up on any given week, so there is no reason to believe in them this week
Pick: Lions 27, Bears 24 (OT)
Those would be all of the games for this week, and there are so many good ones! So many that are coin flips and are going to be exciting to watch. You best be prepared for a fun day Sunday tomorrow. Don't forget to check out the Injury Report tomorrow for all of the latest injury news. Also check out my rankings for all of your activation needs. You can always ask me a question on Twitter or you can shoot me an email. I'll see you guys on Tuesday with my "Let Them Preach" article. Between now and then, I hope you win your fantasy matchup, and good luck to all of you guys this week.
1:00 PM EST – FOX
Line: Eagles by 3
Over/Under: 50
Things I’m Watching For
I want to see if Nnamdi Asomugha can finally step up and shut down his assignment (should be Steve Johnson). He hasn’t been able to shut down anyone so far, probably because he is doing a lot more in Philadelphia than he did in Oakland. I’m even more excited for Lesean McCoy and Fred Jackson to go off in this game. McCoy has led his team in almost every game thus far, and Fred Jackson is doing better than anyone could of expected. It will be interesting to see these two teams pound the ball on the ground, to go along with their dynamic offenses.
Start
Fred Jackson – Like I just said, Jackson is going to get a lot of work in this game, and it only helps that he is playing the worst run defense in the league. Not that I think anyone would be sitting him, but I think many are under-ranking him this week.
Sit
Ryan Ftizpatrick – Bad matchup for Fitzpatrick this week and coming off of a bad performance against the Bengals last week. I expect a sub-par performance from “The Beard”.
CJ Spiller – With Fred Jackson getting almost all of the carries, Spiller hasn’t looked good. It’s just a good thing that Fred Jackson has emerged like this. or the Bills might be struggling to find an offense. Beside that point, CJ Spiller has an injury that has limited him in practice all week long. Even if you need a bye week filler, there should be better options than Spiller.
Pick: Eagles 30, Bills 24
New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers
1:00PM EST - FOX
Line: Saints by 6.5
Over/Under: 51.5
Things I'm Watching For
Well, this might be something I am watching every week,but I am looking to see if Cam Newton can keep producing at this rate. The Saints defense isn't all that great, so I think we might see another great game from Cam Newton. I am also going to see how Marques Colston comes back (completely) from his injury, and see how he is going to play against Chris Gamble. If I had a guess, I would say that Drew Brees takes advantage of his number one guy being back on the field.Start
Darren Sproles - Sproles continues to be the Saint's running back that you want the most on your team. When he gets the ball he is going off, and that's how he is supposed to be used. Darren Sproles is the ideal flex, and I expect him to slowly take over the role of Pierre Thomas. It only helps that he is playing a weak Carolina rush defense (31st, 5.2 yards per rush) in week five.
Greg Olsen - Consistency is key, and Greg Olsen in consistent as can be. He has a touchdown in each of his last two games, and Olsen seems to be Cam Newton's go-to guy if he gets under pressure. Greg Olsen is a good option for your flex spot this week.
Sit
Panthers' Running Backs - The two headed monster...or the two-headed goat. DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart are only hurting each others' fantasy value this year. Neither one has distinguished themselves as the main guy. Regardless of matchup, it is extremely hard to stick one of these guys into your lineup.
Saints' Wide Receivers (after Colston)- With Colston back, I really don't like any of the Saints' wide receivers from a fantasy perspective. None of them have been consistent with Colston out, and with Colston back I don't think anyone is going to really standout.
Pick: Saints 30, Panthers 24
Oakland Raiders vs Houston Texans
1:00 PM EST - CBS
Line: Texans by 5.5
Over/Under: 48.5
Things I'm Watching For
I'm looking to see if Darrius Heyward-Bey is going to play like he did int he three weeks he was healthy, or if Jacoby Ford and Denarius Moore step up. I think Darrius Heyward-Bey is for real, but that is just me. Denarius Moore should see a lot of coverage from Johnathan Joesph who has been magnificent this year. For the Texans, I want to see who is going to step up as the number one wide receiver now that Andre Johnson is out. We all know that Owen Daniels is going to continue to do what he does with Matt Schaub under center, but what about Kevin Walter and Jacoby Jones? Jones has had his chances as the replacement of Andre Johnson and he has done nothing with it. I would look for Kevin Walter to have the biggest game in the absence of Andre, but Jones has a lot more upside.
Start
Darrius Heyward-Bey - With Denarius Moore getting covered by Johnathan Joseph much of the game (I am guessing here as Joseph and Moore both play the left side very often), Heyward-Bey is going to see a lot of Kareem Jackson, one of the worst starting corners in the league. Heyward-Bey could see a lot of targets here, and that is only going to help his stat line.
Sit
Denarius Moore - Like I explained earlier, he should see a lot of Johnathan Joesph, and he has been a top-notch corner this year.
Matt Schaub - Life is going to be hard without Andre Johnson. He is going to be handing off of the ball a lot, so I think You can find a better option this week.
Pick: Texans 27, Raiders 20
Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts
1:00 PM EST - CBS
Line: Colts by 2
Over/Under: 38.5
Things I'm Watching For
Well, there isn't much to watch in the Andrew Luck championship.I want to see if Joseph Addai scontines to get the carries that he deserves, including the ones on the goal line. I also am curious to see is Pierre Garcon will continue to connect with Curtis Painter.
Start
Thomas Jones and Dwayne Bowe - I know your screaming, "What the hell are you thinking! You would start two Chiefs?!" Yes, yes I am starting two Chiefs. Thomas Jones has a great matchup against a weak rush defense and their pass defense isn't much better. Dwayne Bowe, despite the Chiefs' offensive struggles, Bowe has continued to be a very viable option. I think both of these guys will have great games this weekend.Joseph Addai - As I explained in my Bank/Tank, he is getting almost all of the carries and it isn't even a competition against Delone Carter. Find a spot for Addai in your lineup.
Sit
Dallas Clark - While Pierre Garcon benefited from Curtis Painter starting, Dallas Clark did not. I think you probably have a better option this week.
Reggie Wayne - He hasn't shown me anything that makes me want to put him into my lineup, and the same should go for you.
Pick: Chiefs 20, Colts 17
Cincinnati Bengals vs Jacksonville Jaguars
1:00 PM EST - CBS
Line: Jaguars by 2
Over/Under: 37
Things I'm Watching For
Rookie versus rookie..Dalton vs Gabbert..Well, I think we know which one is going to fair better, that'd be the ginger one. I'm interested to see how both of these guys are going to play against each other, even though this game doesn't mean much. I also want to see if Jermaine Gresham, a guy I have always liked, is going to continue to connect with Andy Dalton this week.
Start
AJ Green - The two rookies, Andy Dalton and AJ Green have been connecting well, and against a weak pass defense this week (Jaguars are 14th in the league, numbers do lie!), Green could have a great game.Cedric Benson - Like I said in my Bank/Tank, Cedric Benson has been getting a ton of goal line touches, and is tied for second in the league in touches overall. I know a lot of people have him ranked high this week, but I am actually expecting about 100 yards and touchdown out of this guy. Don't doubt Ced Ben.
Sit
Both Tight Ends - Even though earlier I said I am going to be watching for Jermaine Gresham, I want him to prove to me that he can find the endzone. Marcedes Lewis has been upsetting this year. I was high on him coming into last year and then again this year and he just isn't getting the job done.
Mike Thomas - The Bengals are playing notably good pass defense (3rd in the league) and have only allowed two touchdowns to apposing wide receivers so far this year (both to Eric Decker in week two). I don't think Mike Thomas is going to do much, and if you play him you have to be desperate.
Pick: Bengals 17, Jaguars 13
Arizona Cardinals vs Minnesota Vikings
1:00 PM EST - FOX
Line:Vikings by 3
Over/Under: 45.5
Things I'm Watching For
Now that we know that the Vikings can play int he second half, I want to see Donovan McNabb lead this team to win. He isn't playing up to standards, but this is the perfect matchup to be able for him to do so. i expect to see Larry Fitzgerald have a huge game as well. He has had a good year with Kevin Kolb thus far, but can he take it to the next level with Antoine Winfield out? Survey says yes.
Start Donovan McNabb - He hasn't been putting up spectacular fantasy numbers by any means, but he is going up against one of the worst defenses in the NFL, and I would be surprised if he doesn't exceed 17 points this week (and only this week).
Larry Fitzgerald - Like I said early, Antonie Winfield is out. This game means far more to Fitzgerald then just any game. He is supporting breast cancer right now, and whether that affects how he plays we will have to see, but I certainly think he will be playing with more compassion.
Sit
Both Tight Ends - This one is pretty apparent, but I wouldn't start either of these tight ends unless you are completely in need of a tight end.
Pick: Cardinals 21, Vikings 20
Seattle Seahawks vs New York Giants
1:00 PM EST - FOX
Line: Giants by 9.5
Over/Under: 43.5
Things I'm Watching For
I will be looking out for lots of things in this game, mostly regarding the Giants. With Brandon Jacobs most likely sitting this game out with an MCL tear, how effective will Ahmad Bradshaw be? How much work is Victor Cruz going to get compared to Mario Manningham and which will be more effective? Can the Giants stop Marshawyn Lynch with Osi Umenyiora and Justin Tuck dealing with injuries? All of these things will be interesting to watch and find out, and you can't really get an answer without this game.
Start
Eli Manning - He has thrown for eight touchdowns in the last three weeks and along with that comes great fantasy numbers.
Marshawyn Lynch - As I mentioned earlier, the defensive line is hurting for the Giants, and both Lynch and Tavaris Jackson could have serviceable fantasy days. I mean maybe he will help pull off an upset..but this time, there won't be an earthquake.
Sidney Rice - It's not that I don't believe in Sidney Rice, I just think that people are overhyping him after good performances against two pretty weak defenses. I'm not saying you sit him, but temper your expectations.
Mario Manningham - I am a huge Victor Cruz believer. He has played great in the preseason for two years in a row now, and he is extremely talented. I just think that Manningham's playing time is going to go down the gutter. If your a Manningham owner then you better grab Victor Cruz.
Pick: Giants 30, Seahawks 17
Tennessee Titans vs Pittsburgh Steelers
1:00 PM EST - CBS
Line: Steelers by 3
Over/Under: 39.5
Things I'm Watching For
What an interesting game in that is definitely a toss up between the old and the new. I want to see if Chris Johnson can run on the Steelers defense like he did last week, or is he going to flop like most other running backs? And is Jared Cook going to become the main guy for Matt Hasselbeck? Both are questions that I want answered badly, and this should be a good one.
Start
Jared Cook - He looks like he is going to be Matt Hasselbeck's go to guy, and if you are fishing for a tight end and this guy is out there, then grab him while you still can.
Sit
Ben Roethlisberger - The foot injury could limit his skills on the field, and the Titans are playing some top notch defense right now. I think there are about twenty better options than Big Ben this week.
Rashard Mendenhall - Even if this guy plays he is going to be ineffective. Keep Mendenhall on your bench this week, and if you have to, then go get Isaac Redman.
Pick: Steelers win this game at home, Steelers 26, Titans 20.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers
4:05 PM EST - CBS
Line:49ers by 3
Over/Under: 41.5
Things I'm Watching For
This is another one of those coin flip games. Both teams are probably underrated going into this game with their 3-1 record, and both teams are leading their division (Bucs are tied). I want to see how Mike Williams is going to perform, because he has done nothing yet and this is a great matchup for him. I'm also curious to see if the Buccaneers can get the ground game going with LeGarrette Blount against one of the best run defenses in the league (the 49ers haven't allowed a touchdown on the ground yet).
Start
Both Quarterbacks - Both guys have been putting out decent fantasy numbers, and both have a good matchup this week. What else is there to say other than "start'em"!Mike Williams - I think this is the week that he wakes up. I think Josh Freeman has the best game of his season, and he is going to utilize the matchup that Williams has, just like Tony Romo did with Miles Austin in week three.
Sit
LeGarrette Blount - Going up against a run defense who hasn't allowed a touchdown in the first four weeks in 49ers. If you have an option that is going to put points on the board for you then do it. Their defensive line has trumped other team's offensive lines (I learned this from watching it happen to the Cowboys)
Michael Crabtree - With the matchup against Aqib Talib, I don't expect to see much from Crabtree. Not that he will be non-existent, and just think that you should limit expectations for Crabtree in this game.
Pick: Buccaneers 24, 49ers 20
San Diego Chargers vs Denver Broncos
4:15 PM EST - CBS
Line: Chargers by 3
Over/Under: 46
Things I'm Watching For
Well, the season couldn't get much worse for the Broncos. At least they have a win, right? I expect the Chargers to roll over the Broncos this week. I'll be watching how the Chargers split the carries between Ryan Matthews and Mike Tolbert and when the two running backs are getting the carries. I also want to see who gets more targets this week: Brandon Lloyd or Eric Decker? Kyle Orton likes Decker a lot, but Lloyd is still putting up numbers. I also want to see Knowshon Moreno more involved in this offense; he has been so talented in the past.
Start
Both Broncos' Receivers (Brandon Lloyd and Eric Decker)- They have both been putting up solid fantasy numbers, and the Broncos should be passing a lot in this game.
Both Chargers' Running Backs - They are both productive on any given day, just like the two names I mentioned up above. Matthews is going to get you the carries driving down the field, and Tolbert is going to be in on short-yardage and will most likely be a part of the goal line offense.
Sit
Broncos' Running Backs - It's quite obvious you don't want either of these guys. I mean, McGahee has been finding the endzone, so he may be worth a flex, but I think Moreno could see more work. Besides that point, I think Denver will be down on this game, and will be airing the ball out.
Vincent Jackson - Champ Bailey should be back for this game, and I think people have forgotten that he is still close to a shut down corner. He allows very little to get past him, and Rivers will find other spots to throw the ball. Of course, if Bailey is inactive then I am fine with Vincent Jackson.Pick: Chargers 27, Broncos 13
New York Jets vs New England Patriots
4:15 PM EST - CBS
Line: Patriots by 7.5
Over/Under: 49
Things I'm Watching For
This is probably one of the greatest rivalries of the 2000s, as you might know. Rex Ryan vs Bill Belichick. It doesn't get much better than that. I'm looking to see who is going to get more snaps and who gets more catches: Ladanian Tomlinson or Shonn Greene. I also want to see what Stevan Ridley does with no Danny Woodhead stealing snaps from him. It will be a very good game..or will it?
Start
Patriots' Running Backs - Jets have had a sub-par rush defense this year, so don't fear the Jets. BenJarvus Green-Ellis is getting a tremendous amount of carries on the goal line, and Stevan Ridley is the emerging star. I think both of these guys deserve to be in your lineup.
Sit
Wes Welker - I'm obviously not literally sitting Welker. but against Revis, Welker is definitely going to under perform. Roll with Welker, but just limit your expectations.
Dustin Keller - He hasn't done much lately, and Patriots aren't letting tight ends do much. I would keep Keller on the pine this week.
Pick: Patriots 30, Jets 20 - Patriots don't lose at home
Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons8:27 PM EST - NBC
Line: Packers by 5.5
Over/Under: 53
Things I'm Watching ForThe main thing I am watching that i haven't watched much this season is how Julio Jones looks, and how Roddy White is affected by him. I am also watching to see how the carries are split now that Ryan Grant is back from that kidney injury.
Start
Julio Jones - He is getting a ton of targets in every game, and Matt Ryan loves to throw the ball to this guy. He is a big physical receiver and just like I conveyed in my Bank/Tank, the Packers can't defend #2 wide receivers this year, and Julio Jones is the best number two that they have faced. I am definitely finding a spot for Julio Jones on my roster on his way to his first touchdown in the NFL.Jordy Nelson - Continues to put up nice fantasy numbers. Good wide receiver two or flex play this week
Sit
Packers' Running Backs - You don't know who is going to step up every week, and I don't think this is going to be a running type of game for the Packers.
Michael Turner - He was in my Bank/Tank as a tank. The Falcons aren't going to be running the ball, and even if they do, it isn't going to be effective of the ground.
Picks: Packers 30, Falcons 24
Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions 8:37 PM EST -ESPN
Line: Lions by 5
Over/Under:47.5
Things I'm Watching For
I think we all want to see what a game at Ford Field on Monday Night that is sold out is going to be like. It's should be a great thing to watch. I want to see what wide receiver get's the most targets for the Bears and if Dane Sanzenbacher will step up to the plate once again. I'm even more ready for "C'mon Man!": the best part of Monday Night Football...well maybe not this Monday. I think this will be a really fun game to watch, hopefully more so than last week.
Start
Start Your Studs- You are starting Calvin Johnson, Matt Forte, and Matt Stafford. All of those are a given on any week.
Sit
Jahvid Best - The Bears have a great run defense, and I don't think we are going to see Jahvid Best get much in this game. If you are starting him, hope for a touchdown.
Bears' Wide Receivers (Knox, Williams, Bennett) - None of these guys are showing up on any given week, so there is no reason to believe in them this week
Pick: Lions 27, Bears 24 (OT)
Those would be all of the games for this week, and there are so many good ones! So many that are coin flips and are going to be exciting to watch. You best be prepared for a fun day Sunday tomorrow. Don't forget to check out the Injury Report tomorrow for all of the latest injury news. Also check out my rankings for all of your activation needs. You can always ask me a question on Twitter or you can shoot me an email. I'll see you guys on Tuesday with my "Let Them Preach" article. Between now and then, I hope you win your fantasy matchup, and good luck to all of you guys this week.
September 27, 2011
Week 4 Pickups
By: Gabriel Harber
It was business as usual this week in the NFL. The Bolts edged out the Chiefs in a close one, the Colts took the Steelers down to the wire, and Tom Brady tossed 4 INT's. Wait...What!?
It was business as usual this week in the NFL. The Bolts edged out the Chiefs in a close one, the Colts took the Steelers down to the wire, and Tom Brady tossed 4 INT's. Wait...What!?
If week 3 left you scratching your head, don't worry, you're
not alone. If you are looking for that one waiver wire pick up that is going to
give you a W in week 4? That's what we're here for.
Antonio Brown:
This one is born of necessity more than anything else. Anyone who watched Sunday's game against the
Colts knows the offensive line has more holes in it than Kesha's clothing. With the running game being non-existent, and
Big Ben under constant pressure, the slot receievers stand to benefit a great
deal. Brown did, with a team high 8
targets. He is also a great punt
returner, so if your league uses return yardage, fire away.
Dane Sanzenbacher:
This one is more of a gut call than anything else, but when you go from
relative unknown to catching TD passes in back-to-back weeks, you're bound to
turn some heads. It's been a long time
since Chicago fans had a receiver to be excited about, and with Johnny Knox
panning out as extraordinarily average, there is room for someone to steal the
show. Sanzenbacher may just end up being
that guy. It's worth noting that he had
5 catches on 7 targets. If your league
is PPR, you want to keep a close eye on him; think shades of Wes Welker.
Brandon Gibson:
Gibson has posted three weeks with respectable yardage totals, and even
found the end zone this weekend.
Bradford clearly trusts him, and with the intermittent success he
experienced in 2010, he could very well be stepping it up for real this time.
Jason Campbell: Don't
be fooled, the only reason he put up a stinker this weekend is because everyone
in California got to sit back and watch the McFadden show. With emerging weapons in Denarius Moore and
Jacoby Ford, and a two-headed monster in the backfield, Campbell has all the
tools to work with he never had in Washington.
I'm sold.
Torrey Smith: He caught a long TD pass. Then he caught another one, but for less
yardage. Then it happened again for less
yardage. Then he starts catching passes
that aren't even for touchdowns. I'm
really concerned about the downward trend with this guy.......All jokes aside,
a lot of people are down on this kid and I can't for the life of me tell
why. The Ravens have matchups against
soft pass defenses for most of the season, and Lee Evans sure wasn't producing
like this when he was on the field. It
will be interesting to see what happens from here on out, but I can't see the
Ravens sitting idly on his talent.
Denarius Moore: Darrius
Heyward-Bey was back and guess what?
Moore thoroughly outplayed him, just as predicted, despite being listed
behind him on the depth chart. McFadden
clearly stole the show, but Moore still had 6 targets and a rushing
touchdown. The score was particularly
interesting given it was on a run, proving that the Raiders are committed to
getting the ball to their playmakers any way possible.
David Nelson/Donald Jones:
As long as Buffalo's offense continues putting up numbers, these guys
are worth a flier. Nelson is a
pass-catching monster, but he may already be gone. Jones is a sneaky flex play in deeper
leagues.
Kendall Hunter:
Hunter got most of the workload when Gore went down, and even flashed
some brilliance. With the 49ers looking
for any way to generate offense, and Gore averaging only 2.51 yards per carry,
Hunter will be given his fair shake. If
Gore can't go this weekend, Hunter is a must add against the Eagles putrid run
defense.
Daniel Thomas: This one is a long shot, but I see Thomas
still sitting on wires in quite a few leagues.
If you happen to be in one, burn that waiver priority right now! This guy has all the makings to be the real
deal, and it looks like the Dolphins have finally figured out that not only is
Reggie Bush not a feature back, he's not even a running back.
Montario Hardesty: Every Hillis owner should be taking note
as Hardesty didn't look that bad against a stout Miami run defense. If Hillis goes down or begins wearing out,
Hardesty would be up for an expanded role.
The 4.8 yards per carry was most impressive.
Eric Decker: Decker didn't post the eye popping numbers he
did the week before, but still had 12 targets.
I'm willing to chalk this one up to the Titans secondary and as long as
the Broncos are committed to feeding him, he remains a viable option.
Brandon Pettigrew/Titus Young: While defensive coordinators everywhere draw
up triple teams to slow Megatron down (hint: it won't work), the rest of the
field is becoming wide open for Stafford and crew. Pettigrew posted a huge game while Young had
a fine game to the tune of 8 targets. As
long as the Motor City Massacre (my name for the Lions offense) continues on
this pace, both are intriguing options.
James Casey: Super sneaky sleeper here. Casey exploded from nowhere onto the scene
Sunday and was a nightmare for the Saints defense. He lined up at running back, wide receiver,
and tight end, creating matchup problems all day. Because of his flexibility and knack for
getting open, I believe the Texans will be looking for more ways to get him the
ball.
Victor Cruz: This one's tough because on one hand, he did
have 2 TD's, but on the other hand he only 3 receptions on 5 targets. For now I say monitor the status of
Manningham and Nicks. If they're out,
Cruz makes a decent flex play.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gabe is the newest addition to TheFFAddict.com. He will be writing a pickup article every week so check that out. You can also shoot him any questions on Twitter and you can also check out his blog.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)